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Kosten noch moeite zullen worden gespaard om de Russische krijgsmacht te geven wat die nodig heeft om de oorlog met het Westen in
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Even before the Belarusian Foreign Minister Vladimir Makei’s sudden death, it was hard to see how Minsk could ever return to its multi-vector foreign policy as long as Lukashenko remains in power.
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Artyom Shraibman
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Deze herfst is het boekCalamity Islands van...
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In October Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko and president Vladimir Putin announced to deploy a new regional group of joint Russian and Belorussian forces in Belarus. What is behind this move? In a piece for Carnegie Politika the in Minsk based political analyst Artyom Shraibman argues that it's part of the ongoing erosion of the sovereignty of Belarus.
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Artyom Shraibman
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De EU wil het ook voor Witrussen moeilijker en duurder maken om Schengenvisa te verkrijgen. Politiek analyst Artjom
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Moskou is woedend over Litouwens stopzetting van de doorvoer van metaal naar Kaliningrad. Nikolaj Patroesjev riep de Veiligheidsraad
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Een maand geleden trokken Russische troepen het stadje Slavoetitsj binnen, op de grens met Belarus en niet ver van Tsjernobyl.
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De Russische inval in Oekraïne op 24 februari kwam niet alleen vanuit Russisch grondgebied. De aanval op Kyiv werd ingezet
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Op zondag 27 februari, drie dagen nadat Rusland mede via Belarus de aanval op Oekraïne begon, vond in Belarus zelf een referendum plaats over
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Zondag 27 februari zal er in Belarus een referendum over een nieuwe grondwet worden gehouden, zo heeft Aleksandr Loekasjenko
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Op 29 juli 2020 werden 33 Russische huurlingen opgepakt in Minsk. De Witrussische autoriteiten dachten dat de groep zich wilde
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In een uniek interview van 25 minuten ondervroeg de Moskouse correspondent van de BBC Steve Rosenberg in Minsk
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Over bijna de hele linie aan de oostgrens van Europa namen de afgelopen dagen de spanningen toe. Terwijl in het grensgebied tussen
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The migration crisis, organised by Aleksandr Lukashenka, for the time being is in the interests of the Kremlin, as this aggravates the situation on the EU border and tests the resilience of the Polish security system, Poland’s armed forces and NATO as a whole. But Putin's support is not unconditional.
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Piotr Żochowski
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Sinds de zomer van 2021 is Belarus hét transitland voor migranten uit het Midden-Oosten en Afrika. Dat is het gevolg van bewust
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After the Russian annexation of Crimea in 2014 many feared that this 'compatriot protection scheme' could become a precedent. The author concludes that conditions in Belarus are ultimately unfavorable to Russian-sponsored secessionism. The national uprising after the election fraud of August 2020 proved to be a gamechanger as well.
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Tijs van de Vijver
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From 10 till 15 September Russian and Belarusian troops held their joint military exercises Zapad-2021. Strangely enough the main push was directed not against the West, but against Ukraine.
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Hannes Adomeit
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Elf en tien jaar cel kregen de Witrussische activist Maria Kolesnikova en advocaat Maksim Znak in een proces achter gesloten deuren.
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Lukashenko is able to repress the opposition, but can he manage the economy of Belarus as well as he manages the crack-down of society?
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Mark Galeotti
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Belarusian President Lukashenko has had a complicated love-hate relationship with the Kremlin. While Belarus has generally aligned its foreign policy outlook with the Russian Federation, at various moments Lukashenko tried to keep his geopolitical options open. In a special report Institute Clingendael identifies six scenarios for the future of Belarus and further elaborates the consequences of four of them.
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Bob Deen, Barbara Roggeveen en Wouter Zweers
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Op 9 augustus 2020 brak in Belarus de opstand tegen Loekasjenko uit. Sergej Veresjtsjagin werd in november tot vijf jaar strafkamp
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In een lang essay betoogt president Poetin dat Rusland, Oekraïne en Belarus als duizend jaar één geheel vormen. Het idee dat
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De repressie in Rusland en Belarus neemt van dag tot dag grimmiger vormen aan. Op 9 juni werd Navalny's FBK (Anti-Corruptie Fonds)
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Tijdens de coronapandemie in Rusland boden veel burgers elkaar de helpende hand. Maar is deze burgerzin ook het begin van een nieuwe
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Het Kremlin maakt zich op om Aleksej Navalny fysiek en mentaal te breken en de oppositiebeweging rondom hem een definitieve slag toe
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The opposition in Belarus promised a 'hot spring' with new mass protests against Lukashenko. But active repression in the last months precluded that and from 25 till 27 March there were no demonstrations to be seen. It is a failure for the opposition and a seemlingly victory for the regime, but the deep distrust has not disappeared and some day the anger of the people will erupt again.
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Kamyl Klisinski
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The Polish-based Belarusian opposition news outlet Nexta on March 8 has published an investigative film about Alexander Lukashenko's luxurious life, reminiscent of Alexei Navalny's YouTube film Putin's Castle. Within a week the film (Lukashenko, Goldmine) was watched by 5,5 million viewers. Lukashenko dismissed it as rubbish and cheap photoshopping. 'I didnot steal anything from my state.'
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Viktor Babariko, ex-candidate for president of Belarus and former top manager of Belgazprombank, has been behind bars for almost 8 months. On the eve of his trial, that started on 17 February, Deutsche Welle was able to obtain written answers from prison to questions on the future of Belarus, his presidential ambitions and his meeting with Lukashenko in the KGB jail.
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Bogdana Alexandrovskaya
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On February 11 and 12 Alexander Lukashenko gathered his loyal Belarusian People's Congress to discuss constitutional reforms. The Kremlin didn't find an alternative leader and Russia loses popularity in Belarus.
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Artyom Shraibman
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Russian analysts see a changing attitude in the Kremlin’s reactions to crises in Belarus, Nagorno-Karabakh and Kyrgyzstan. In their view the Kremlin is becoming more pragmatic. German Russia expert Hannes Adomeit disagrees and argues that Russia just follows traditional imperial Russian (and Soviet) patterns of behaviour.
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Hannes Adomeit
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Wat is Ruslands plan met de enige bufferstaat met de Europese Unie die nog over is? Uitgelekte documenten suggereren dat het Kremlin
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After the disclosure of the assassination plot against Navalny by the FSB, new leaks this time point to the Belarusian KGB, planning the murder of political opponents of Lukashenko. It sheds new light on the killing of the Belarusian journalist Pavel Sheremet, who died in a car bomb in Kyiv in 2016. Our columnist Mark Galeotti on the Belarusian KGB's lack of tradecraft and the complicated relationship between the secret services of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine.
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Mark Galeotti
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Belarus gaat een onzeker jaar tegemoet. Svetlana Tichanovskaja, voor velen de legitiem gekozen president, krijgt op 16 december de
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Tot twee keer toe werd een optreden van Svetlana Aleksijevitsj op het jaarlijkse boekenfestival in Moskou afgeblazen. De
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So far the Belorusian security forces have been the loyal and brutal guarantee for the survival of president Lukashenko. The opposition is trying to undermine this loyalty by offering police officers who resign moral and financial support. With some succes. But many of them realise that they already have gone too far and have to continue.
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Mark Galeotti
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Op 19 en 20 november is oppositieleidster Svetlana Tichanovskaja in Nederland om steun te vragen voor haar strijd tegen Aleksandr
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Nobelprijswinnares Svetlana Aleksijevitsj mag internationaal de bekendste Witrussische schrijver zijn, de literatuur van Belarus
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Russia witnesses worrying developments in what it sees as its 'Near Abroad' or sphere of influence, like the Caucasus and Belarus. But war and revolution are not inimical to Moscow if they follow paths Russian policymakers understand and even support.
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Kadri Liik
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Met de komst van Svetlana Tichanovskaja, activisten, studenten en ict’ers is de Litouwse hoofdstad Vilnius het centrum van de
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De nationale staking op 26 oktober waartoe oppositieleider Svetlana Tichanovskaja na het verstrijken van haar ...
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The perseverance of the Belarusian demonstrators has been amazing - for more than 2 months now every week a hundred thousand or more marched in Minsk - but there are signs that the energy is diminishing. Partly this is due to weather conditions, partly to growing threats of the use of violence by the authorities. In this respect the ultimatum of Lukashenka's presidential opponent Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya is a risky step.
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Kamil Kłysiński
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Al zes weken gaan honderdduizenden Wit-Russen elk weekeind de straat op om te protesteren tegen de verkiezingsfraude van president
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Lukashenko's weakened position after the presidential elections of August 9 seemed an opportunity for Russia. At last Putin could force him to accept total integration in the Union State he has been dreaming of. But now the Belarusian president seems unable to crush the protests and the West has turned him down Belarus is becoming a problem for the Kremlin as well. It can lose the sympathy of the last Slavic brothers left after the Ukraine crisis.
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Artyom Shraibman
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Nobelprijswinnaar Svetlana Aleksijevitsj is het enige lid van de oppositionele Coördinatieraad van Belarus dat nog
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Maria Kolesnikova werd in Minsk ontvoerd om de grens met Oekraïne overgezet te worden. Ze verscheurde haar paspoort en wordt nu
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The image of Putin’s Russia in Germany has suffered tremendously in the past few weeks. In the wake of a series of ever more implausible denials, the Kremlin’s credibility has seriously been eroded. Government and leading figures in the political parties have called for sanctions, both against the Lukashenko regime and Putin’s Russia, including stopping the North Stream 2 gas pipeline project. It remains to be seen whether the current shocks of the Kremlin’s behaviour will lead to major policy changes or, as in the past, end in business as usual.
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Hannes Adomeit
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De IT-sector is een van de succesvolste economische branches in Belarus. Nu de overheid ook internet probeert aan te pakken
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Putin's first public reaction to the crisis in Belarus ultimately proves that countries in Russia's so called 'sphere of influence' are not allowed to have an internal political agenda of their own. If protests in Belarus lead to more independence from Russia and inclination to the West they will be stopped.
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Alexander Baunov
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While the popular uprising against the Lukashenko regime is not abating, Russia faces the dilemma whether to intervene or not to intervene. According to Russia-expert Hannes Adomeit it is unlikely that Russia will just wait and consent to a new government, as it did in Armenia. Russia might look for a Belarusian Jaruzelski or resort to hybrid intervention. The attittude of the West hardly has any impact: domestic political considerations will determine Russia's behaviour.
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Hannes Adomeit
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In een toespraak tot het Europees Parlement heeft de Witrussische presidentskandidate Svetlana Tichanovskaja benadrukt dat de
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De Witrussische revolutie toont aan dat het uiteenvallen van de Sovjet-Unie in 1991 niet voltooid werd. De ruïnes van de USSR zijn
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De gruwelijke pijnkreten van Aleksej Navalny en het gevecht om hem naar een veilig en deskundig ziekenhuis in Berlijn te vervoeren,
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In 2014 noemde de Russische propaganda de Oekraïense opstandelingen fascisten en moordenaars. Oorlogstaal, die betekende dat de
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Dat ook industriearbeiders in Belarus in staking zijn gegaan tegen de geweldsexplosie van president Loekasjenko komt niet uit de
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De Russische staatstelevisie riep dezer dagen het spookbeeld op van een Pools-Litouws rijk, strekkend van de Baltische kust tot de
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Belarusians must chart their own future. The West can encourage them but it's too presumptuous and too counter-productive to tell them how to act. In the meantime, sanctions are ineffective and might actually make Belarus more dependent on Russia, argues Mark Galeotti. The West should provide practical aid and comfort. And Lukashenko should no longer be referred to as the president of Belarus. It’s a symbolic measure, but symbolism matters in politics.
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Mark Galeotti
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De democratische beweging voor de presidentsverkiezingen in Belarus en het burgerprotest daarna wordt in belangrijke mate gedragen
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Terwijl de protesten in Belarus donderdag uitgroeiden tot een volksopstand, bleef de Russische regering achter president Loekasjenko
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Dat president Aleksandr Loekasjenko van Belarus de staatsmacht na de verkiezingen van 9 augustus nu alleen nog met geweld kan
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President Loekasjenko van Belarus escaleert verder. Toen duidelijk werd dat het burgerprotest daags na de verkiezingen niet zou
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Na een onrustige nacht met veel politiegeweld en drieduizend arrestaties in Minsk en enkele provinciesteden, riep de Witrussische
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In Minsk zijn twee DJ’s veroordeeld tot 10 dagen celstraf omdat ze op 6 augustus bij een openluchtconcert het protestlied
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The social economic circumstances for the presidential elections in Belarus are extremely unfavourable for the authorities. Recession, decline in living standards and no reforms in sight, have caused popular protests and a wish for change. The risk of the regime falling, however, is still pretty low. Re-elected, a weakened president Lukashenka, may be forced to resort to increased Russian subsidies and thus severely limit the sovereignty of his country
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Kamil Kłysiński
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Terwijl de eerste stemhokjes in Belarus vijf dagen voor de verkiezingen van 9 augustus al opengingen, waarschuwde president
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De verkiezingsstrijd in Belarus is spannender dan ooit, nu drie Witrussische vrouwen op zegetocht door de provincies van het land
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After unseen police violence, anger in Belarus reached even some of the smallest towns across the country. In the weeks before the
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Drie Witrussische vrouwen wisten op zondag 19 juli rond de 7.500 mensen in Minsk bijeen te krijgen voor een politieke bijeenkomst in de aanloop
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Vorige week gingen in Minsk en andere steden in Belarus duizenden mensen de straat op om te protesteren tegen de arrestatie van
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Popular vlogger Syarhey Tsikhanouski is becoming a serious opposition force. As president Lukashenka seeks reelection in August, his position is weakening. His dismissal of corona as a 'psychosis' further undermined his power.
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Tony Wesolowsky
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Belarus president Alexander Lukashenko has not taken strong measures to counter the coronavirus in his country yet. He still claims that nobody is going to die from the virus, even though it is likely that some already have. What is going on in Belarus?
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Andrey Shingaryov
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While Moscow pushes Belarus into further integration with Russia, talks between Putin and Lukashenko on December 7th failed to bring substantial progress. Minsk is playing hard to get and is not willing to obtain economic gains at all costs, but it's unlikely that Moscow’s embrace will shift from fraternal to fratricidal, argues Matthew Frear.
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Matthew Frear
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Four sacks of potatoes and a piece of lard were the Christmas gifts president Lukashenko brought for his meeting with Putin on December 29. But tensions about sovereignty of Belarus have risen again. It's an old power play between Minsk and Moscow. Arseny Sivitsky analyses the concerns from the point of view of Belarus.
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The big Russian-Belarusian military exercise Zapad-2017 is in full swing. Speculations as to what Russia is up to abound. The
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Belarus limits the international safety inspections and doesn't provide full information during the construction of the
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Last Monday, April 3, Lukashenko and Putin met in Saint Petersburg to overcome their controversies. After the meeting they announced
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